Houston vs Marshall 11/17/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Houston winning 43% of simulations, and Marshall 57% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Houston commits fewer turnovers in 31% of simulations and they go on to win 57% when they take care of the ball. Marshall wins 68% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. David Piland is averaging 312 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 58%. Rakeem Cato is averaging 300 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (40% chance) then he helps his team win 73%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MAR -3
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